Build a scenario
Enter expected goals for both teams and choose the depth of the simulation.
- Home, draw and away probability
- Both teams to score
- Most likely scorelines
Modelling lab
Test a match before risking a stake.
Adjust expected goals and simulation volume to understand how small assumptions change the likely score distribution.
InputsHome + away xG
OutputsScore probabilities
ControlCustom simulations
Read sensitivity
Run more than one scenario. If a tiny xG change flips the pick, the edge is fragile.
- Compare assumptions
- Avoid false precision
- Treat outputs as estimates
Your next move