Monte Carlo Engine
10,000 Poisson simulations per match in under 200ms. Win probabilities, BTTS, Over/Under, and top scorelines with confidence intervals.
FIFA World Cup 2026 · Live coverage
Bet with
an edge.
Not a hope.
Poisson xG modelling, Kelly criterion stake sizing, and real-time arbitrage detection across 21 global leagues and 4,884 fixtures. Built for serious punters.
0
Fixtures indexed
0
Global leagues
0%
Model accuracy
KSh 0
Edge identified
Live engine
See the model work.
Real Poisson distributions from 4,884 seeded fixtures. Not guesswork — math.
Match analysis
England vs France
UEFA Champions League · Matchday 6
Confidence
87%
Outcome probabilities
England win43%
Draw27%
France win30%
xG Home
1.40
xG Away
1.10
BTTS
50.3%
Most likely scorelines
1-1
12.5%
1-0
11.2%
0-1
9.0%
2-1
8.6%
0-0
8.5%
Arbitrage detected
Germany vs Ivory Coast · h2h
+2.1% margin
SportPesa 1.85·Betika 1.90·1xBet 1.95
The toolkit
Every edge. One platform.
Kelly Criterion
Mathematically optimal stake sizing based on your bankroll and model edge. Never overbet, never underbet. Fractional Kelly included.
Arbitrage Scanner
Scans odds from 5 bookmakers per match and flags guaranteed-profit surebet opportunities across the full fixture list automatically.
Edge Detection
Overround removal reveals the true fair odds implied by the market. We compare our Poisson model to find where bookmakers misprice.
Bankroll Protection
Ruin-probability calculator ensures your staking plan survives drawdown streaks. Stay in the game long enough for the edge to compound.
21 Global Leagues
Premier League to J1 League. Serie A to Brazilian Série A. FIFA World Cup 2026. One subscription covers every major market worldwide.
The process
From fixture to bet
in three steps.
01
Model builds priors
Our Poisson model pulls expected goals from 4,884 seeded fixtures, removes bookmaker overround, and derives fair probabilities for every match.
remove_overround() · poisson_xg()02
Engine finds the edge
We compare model probability to implied market probability. Any match where our edge exceeds your minimum threshold surfaces as a value bet.
edge = model_prob − implied_prob03
Kelly sizes the stake
Fractional Kelly Criterion calculates the exact stake that maximises long-run bankroll growth without risking ruin. You click confirm.
stake = bankroll × (edge / (odds − 1))From the community
Numbers don't lie.
“The Kelly calculator alone paid for itself in the first week. I stopped overbetting and my ROI went from -3% to +11%.”
Marcus T.
Professional bettor, London
+11% ROI
Coverage
21 leagues.
One subscription.
One operating view for domestic leagues, continental competitions, and World Cup markets.
Premier League
La Liga
Bundesliga
Serie A
Ligue 1
Champions League
Europa League
FIFA World Cup 2026
MLS
Eredivisie
Primeira Liga
Scottish Prem
Brazilian Série A
Argentine Primera
J1 League
Saudi Pro League
Süper Lig
Belgian Pro
Greek Super
Czech Liga
Stop guessing.
Start winning.
Join bettors who use math — not gut feeling — to find profitable opportunities every matchday.
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